城市新区与主城区之间公共交通模式发展选择研究

城市新区与主城区之间公共交通模式发展选择研究(论文17000字)
摘要
 伴随着城市进程加快，城市变得日益拥堵，城市新区的诞生很好的解决了主城区交通拥堵和环境恶化等相关问题。随着城市新区的功能日益完善，到现在，城市新区已经拥有了主城区的主要功能，居民大量涌入城市新区。随着城市新区与主城区之间的客流量越来越大，居民对于缩短城市新区到主城区之间的空间距离和时间要求越来越高。而居民往往在出行时候希望的交通工具具有是安全性、舒适性、低成本和污染较小等相关配置的交通模式。为适应城市进程化，满足居民的出行，合理的配置公共交通成为了主要研究对象，基于此本文对城市新区和主城区的公共交通模式选择进行了研究。通过层次分析法对城市新区和主城区之间的公共交通模式选择研究。
    首先阐述城市新区、主城区、公共交通模式的相关概念和内涵，并且对国内外现状进行了研究分析。
其次描述了相关公共交通的概念，主要讨论了城市新区与主城区之间的客流特性分析，并且在基于传统四阶段模型基础上对城市新区和主城区之间的交通需求量提供新的思路和方法。
本文核心部分是对城市新区和主城区之间的公共交通模式选择，通过对比几种常用的模型方法，本文采取的是层次分析法选择城市新区主城区之间的公共交通模式选择，找出最合理的公共交通方案。本方法通过选取相关数量的指标建立层次结构图，计算过程采用了相对简单的层次分析法。并且对该方法所涉及到的相关指标进行了简单的阐述和说明。 [来源：http://www.think58.com]
最后是对公共交通模式结构优化进行了简单的研究，首先对影响交通结构方式分析，对阻碍公共交通发展因素进行了系统性分析，确定优化公共交通结构原则：协调性、适应性、便捷性。最后对优化城市新区和主城区之间的公共交通提供了建议性方法。
本文最后通过案例分析，将所学的知识运用到浦口——新街口的公共交通模
式选择之中，从而为浦口——新街口之间的公共交通模式提供了一个参考，此部分内容具有十分重要的意义。
关键词： 城市新区：主城区：公共交通模式：层次分析法
 
Between the city and the urban development of public traffic mode choice
Abstract
Along with the accelerated process of city, city is becoming increasingly crowded,the birth of new city is a good solution to the problems related to urban traffic congestion and environmental deterioration. With the new city function is increasingly perfect, up to now, city district has the main function of the main urban areas of the city, the influx of new residents. With the passenger flow between city and district and the city is bigger, for the residents of the city to the urban area between shorten the space distance and time requirements more and more high. While residents often hope in travel time traffic tool with safety, comfort, low cost and less pollution and other related configuration of traffic modes. In order to adapt to the city modernization, meet the residents travel ,allocation of public traffic reasonable as the main research object, this paper public traffic mode choice of city new district and the city was studied based on By the analysis of the public traffic mode choice between city and urban area.

Firstly，the related concept and the connotation of City New District, , urban public transport modes, and the present situation of domestic and overseas are analyzed.
Secondly, it describes the concept of public transport, mainly discusses the analysis of passenger flow between city and city, and based on the traditional four stage model of traffic demand between the city and the city to provide new ideas and methods.
The core part of this paper is to choose public transport mode between city and city, through the comparison of several commonly used model, this paper adopted is the analytic hierarchy process to choose public transport mode between the main city zone area, find out the most reasonable public transport system. The method of hierarchical structure chart is established by selecting the number of indicators, calculation process uses a relatively simple analytic hierarchy process. The related indexes and the methods involved are briefly described and illustrated.
Finally is to the public traffic mode structure optimization was studied, the first analysis of the influence of traffic structure, public transportation development to hinder the factor to carry on the system analysis, to determine the optimal structure of public traffic principles: coordination, flexibility, convenience. Finally, provides the suggestions on optimization method between the city and urban public transport. [资料来源：http://think58.com]
Keywords: New City: City: public transport mode: the analytic hierarchy process
 
目录
摘要    I
Abstract    II
第一章  绪论    1
1.1研究背景及意义    1
1.2相关概念界定    1
1.2.1主城区    1
1.2.2城市新区    1
1.3国内外研究动态    1
1.3.1国外研究状态    2
1.3.2国内研究现状    2
1.4主要研究内容    4
1.5技术路线图    5
1.6预期目标    5
第二章 城市新区和主城区之间的客流分析与预测    6
2.1城市新区和主城区的客流特性分析    6
2.2城市新区到主城区的客流量影响因素    8
2.3城市新区和主城区之间的交通需求发展趋势    10
2.4城市新区到主城的客流预测    10
第三章 城市新区与主城区之间公共交通适用性分析    12 [资料来源：http://THINK58.com]
3.1常规公交    12
3.1.1定义：    12
3.1.2常规公交特性分析    12
    3.2快速公交    12
3.2.1定义    12
3.2.2快速公交特性分析    12
3.3地铁    13
3.3.1定义    13
3.3.2地铁特性分析：    13
3.4适用范围    13
第四章 城市新区到主城区的公共交通模式选择方法    19
4.1城市新区到主城区公共交通模式选择方法的比较    19
4.2层次分析法    19
    4.2.1层次分析法概述    19
4.2.2层次分析法原理    20
4.2.3应用领域    20
4.4相关指标描述    21
4.4.1交通服务    21
4.4.2城市新区指标    22
4.4.3经济指标    22
4.5指标及其相互影响程度的确立    23
4.5.1立层次结构模型    23 [资料来源：http://think58.com]
4.5.2构造比较矩阵    24
4.5.3相对权向量确定    25
4.5.4一致性检验    25
第五章  城市新区到主城区的公共交通优化    27
5.1定义    27
5.2影响交通结构方式分析    27
5.4优化公共交通结构原则    28
5.5优化公共交通的方法    28
5.5.1基础建设方面    29
5.5.2政府方面    29
第六章  案例分析    31
6.1浦口与新街口发展现状    31
6.2方案选择    31
6.3判断矩阵的建立    32
6.4评价结果分析    35
小结    36
参考文献    37
致谢    39